BusinessSolvency User Manual · Alpha Testing · October 2026
Part Three — Setting Up and Managing Financial Results
Chapter 7A

Quarterly Forecast & Review

A realistic annual forecast is built up from quarters, not typed in as one number. This chapter shows how to plan each quarter, compare it with the actual figures from your accounting software after each BAS quarter, read the trend in dollars and percent, and use what the quarters show to keep your annual and three-year forecast honest. It is the working heart of the quarterly review described in Chapter 3A.

Business OwnersAccountants
The point of this chapter (for your learning)

Plan each quarter, compare it with reality, and act on the trend while it is small.

The process

Quarter, then year, then three years. Each quarter’s actual figures show whether the plan is holding, and the forecast is adjusted from what really happens.

The value

Trends in revenue, cash and money owed are seen quarter by quarter, in dollars and percent, months before they show up in the annual accounts.

The lesson

A negative trend caught in its first quarter needs a small fix. The same trend found at year end needs a big one.

“A realistic annual forecast is built up from quarterly figures. One slipping quarter is a warning; four slipping quarters is a crisis. Act on the trend while the fix is still small.”
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In This Chapter
  1. 7A.1 — What the page is for
  2. 7A.2 — Opening the page
  3. 7A.3 — The page at a glance
  4. 7A.4 — Plan: the forecast for each quarter
  5. 7A.5 — Compare: importing the quarter’s actual figures
  6. 7A.6 — Watch the trend: the four cards
  7. 7A.7 — The checks, and how they are worked out
  8. 7A.8 — How it links with the annual sheet
  9. 7A.9 — Your goal
  10. 7A.10 — Keeping a record: save, print, Excel and web page
  11. 7A.11 — A worked example: Ridgeline’s first quarter of FY2027
  12. 7A.12 — What is coming next
Section 7A.1
What the page is for

Most owners find it hard to type a realistic figure for a whole year onto a page, especially if they have never budgeted before. A quarter is a much smaller, more realistic step, and every quarter your accounting software already produces actual figures for the BAS. Quarterly Forecast & Review brings the two together: the plan for each quarter, the actual result once the quarter is over, and the difference between them.

Seen quarter after quarter, those differences become trends: revenue drifting below plan, money owed to you creeping up, closing cash a little further behind each time. Trends are the earliest reliable warning of where cash is heading, and they are what this page is built to show. The annual forecast (Chapter 7) is then built on what the quarters actually show, not on hope.

Section 7A.2
Opening the page

There are three ways in:

The page opens on the current financial year (July to June). The year buttons under the heading switch to any other year, and the Business drop-down switches to another business you have access to, for the same year.

Section 7A.3
The page at a glance

From top to bottom:

Section 7A.4
Plan: the forecast for each quarter

Each quarter’s Forecast starts at the annual sheet’s figure divided by four. Change any figure to suit the season (a retailer’s December quarter, a landscaper’s quiet winter), then click Save. Start again from the annual forecast (÷ 4) resets every quarter of the year, after asking you to confirm.

The lines are deliberately simpler than the annual sheet, enough to see what is driving cash without the detail:

LineWhat it meansTaken from the annual sheet
Revenue / SalesTotal sales for the quarter, excluding GST.Revenue / Sales
Cost of sales and fuelDirect costs of what was sold, plus fuel.Cost of Goods Sold + Fuel
Wages and superWages and payroll, plus superannuation.Wages and Payroll + Superannuation
Rent and overheadsRent, insurance, professional fees and other overheads.Rent + Insurance + Professional Fees + Other Overheads
Loan repayments and interestPrincipal repaid on loans, plus interest.Debt Repayment + Interest Expense
Tax and BAS paidTax paid during the year (last year’s assessed tax, shown as ATO Obligations).ATO Obligations
Owner drawingsWhat you take out of the business.Owner Drawings
Equipment, stock and other movementsEverything the lines above don’t cover: equipment bought, stock, money owed to and by you, new loans and reserve funding. Worked out automatically so the four quarters add up to the annual sheet’s year-end cash. A negative figure here means more cash came in this way than went out, for example from a new loan.Balancing figure

Below the cash lines, Net cash movement is cash in less cash out for the quarter, and Closing cash carries it forward quarter to quarter from the year’s opening cash. The Balances at quarter end (money owed to you, money you owe, and GST and ATO owed) start at the annual sheet’s year-end figures and can be adjusted for each quarter.

Section 7A.5
Compare: importing the quarter’s actual figures

Once a quarter has ended and the BAS is prepared, bring in the actual figures:

  1. In the accounting software (Xero, MYOB, QuickBooks, Sage or Reckon), export the quarter’s BAS summary or profit and loss report as an Excel (.xlsx) or CSV file.
  2. In BusinessSolvency, open Import Quarterly Data (the import the actual figures link in step 2 on the page, or the Import button below the table).
  3. Choose the financial year and the quarter (Q1 July–September, Q2 October–December, Q3 January–March, Q4 April–June), choose the file, and click Upload and Import.

The import reads the file’s row labels and picks out: the cash or bank balance (labels such as “Cash at bank”), total income (“Total income”, “Total revenue”, “Sales”), money owed to you (“Trade debtors”, “Accounts receivable”), money you owe (“Trade creditors”, “Accounts payable”), short-term loans, and GST and ATO owed.

Back on Quarterly Forecast & Review, those figures appear in the quarter’s Actual column, and Diff shows Actual minus Forecast: green where you are ahead, red where behind. A balance the file didn’t contain shows “—” rather than a false $0. The cost lines show “—” for now; reading costs from the same file is the next step being built (Section 7A.12).

Practise it

Bookkeepers: practise importing a quarter and checking it on a training copy before you do it for a client. Training: who training is for →

Section 7A.6
Watch the trend: the four cards

Once any quarter of the year has actual figures, four cards appear above the table, for the latest such quarter:

Read across the year, quarter by quarter, the same four measures become the trend: which way each is moving, and by how much.

Section 7A.7
The checks, and how they are worked out

Cash IN ≥ Cash OUT is the Sustainable Cashflow test (Chapter 3) for each quarter. On the forecast, it is ✓ when the quarter’s net cash movement is zero or better. Once the quarter is imported, the actual check compares the quarter’s closing cash with the previous quarter’s.

Your goal checks whether the quarter can sustainably pay you a quarter of the yearly goal. What the quarter can pay is what is already being taken out (drawings) plus whatever cash the quarter has left over (its net cash movement). For example, with a goal of $25,000 a year, the quarter needs to provide $6,250. If the forecast takes out nothing for you and the quarter’s net cash movement is −⁠$4,000 (the bank balance falls by $4,000), the quarter can pay −⁠$4,000, so it is $6,250 + $4,000 = $10,250 short: the quarter would need to be that much better to fund the goal. As the forecast improves, the shortfall shrinks, and once a quarter covers its share it turns to ✓.

Section 7A.8
How it links with the annual sheet

Quarterly Forecast & Review works hand in hand with the annual sheet (the three statements on your business page, and the Forecast page for future years):

The process is the one this platform is built around: quarter, then year, then three years, each built on the one before.

At the end of the year, importing the April–June quarter is step 6 of the July Year-End Checklist (Chapter 7, Section 7.12).

Section 7A.9
Your goal

Under the table, Your goal asks the question behind every forecast: what do you want the business to pay you each year? Enter the amount, and what it is for (family, school fees, retirement), and click Save my goal. Each quarter in the table is then checked against a quarter of it (Section 7A.7). To remove a goal, clear both boxes and save. With no goal saved, the check uses current drawings as the goal; with no drawings either, it shows “no goal set”.

“Sustainably” means after all the bills, tax, loan repayments and the other movements, without having to put money back in. A goal that is short in the early quarters is not a failure: it is the clearest possible signal of how much better the quarters need to be, and where.

Section 7A.10
Keeping a record: save, print, Excel and web page

The app always shows the latest forecast. Saved copies go to your computer’s Downloads folder (or wherever the browser saves files), so a folder of quarterly copies builds into a history of the year.

Section 7A.11
A worked example: Ridgeline’s first quarter of FY2027

Ridgeline Landscaping’s demonstration data includes its first quarter of FY2027 (July to September 2026). Its quarterly page shows the start of the story told in Chapter 8: revenue about 4% below forecast, money owed to the business higher than planned as slow-paying customers bite, closing cash a few thousand dollars behind plan, and the quarter’s Cash IN ≥ Cash OUT check showing ✗.

None of that is a crisis on its own. But it is the first quarter of a trend that, left alone, becomes the overdraft described in Chapter 8. Caught here, the action is small: chase the overdue invoices, check whether the season’s prices still cover costs, and hold drawings to what the quarter actually earned. That is the quarterly review doing its job. (Demonstration figures are illustrative and may be updated.)

Section 7A.12
What is coming next
“A realistic annual forecast is built up from quarterly figures. One slipping quarter is a warning; four slipping quarters is a crisis. Act on the trend while the fix is still small.”
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